Entry Points | Valuation Discipline, Risk and Pricing

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Portfolio Analyst Brandon Smith, CFA, CAIA, highlights the importance of adhering to a valuation discipline and the risks associated with investing in statistically expensive companies.

Catalysts in Play: Are today’s highly valued growth stocks vulnerable?

We have just emerged from a decade in which investors enjoyed historically high rates of return with low inflation. We believe these returns were primarily driven by multiple expansion as central banks experimented with zero interest-rate policies. Growth equities, in particular, saw multiples rise to valuation levels not seen since the dotcom era of the early 2000s.

Today, we are in a dramatically different market environment.

Entry Points: Inflation, though it may have peaked, remains uncomfortably high. Central banks have rapidly tightened their monetary policies, and risk is seemingly being priced once again by the open market instead of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Multiple Compression | We believe we are in the early innings of multiple compression across a wide swath of equities. Therefore, it may be an important time to remind investors that a great company does not necessarily equal a great investment.

  • One such example is Microsoft Corp. during the dotcom era of the early 2000s. This is a period that has many similarities to today’s market environment.
  • From January 2000 through December 2011, Microsoft sales more than tripled, and operating income, or EBIT (earnings before income and tax), more than doubled. But, the market capitalization of the stock was reduced by more than half, dropping to $218 billion from $476 billion.
  • Microsoft’s price-to-earnings (PE) multiple went from 53 times earnings to nine times earnings over this 12-year period, and the cumulative stock price return for Microsoft was negative 55.5 percent.
  • Why did the stock perform so poorly? We believe this is because investors paid too much for it in 2000. While Microsoft was a great company that continued to grow, investors experienced a poor return because they overpaid for it.

Today’s Environment | We hold that market indices are populated with many similarly expensive stocks. That is why we firmly adhere to the valuation discipline outlined in our three-circle stock selection process. And by doing so, we remain optimistic about the prospects for continued outperformance of low-valuation stocks in the coming years.

Active Strategy: Boston Partners’ strategies offer specialized actively managed value equity investing across a variety of geographies, market capitalizations, and long/short approaches. The construction of our portfolios is guided by a sensible set of fundamental truths that have been tested over time and various market cycles.

For questions or additional information, please contact us.

For a complete transcript, click here.

Disclosures:

Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc. (“Boston Partners”) is an Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Boston Partners is an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of ORIX Corporation of Japan (“ORIX”). Boston Partners updated its firm description as of November 2018 to reflect changes in its divisional structure. Boston Partners is comprised of two divisions, Boston Partners and Weiss, Peck & Greer Partners (“WPG”).

The views expressed reflect those of Boston Partners as of November 2, 2022. Any such views are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions and Boston Partners disclaims any responsibility to update such views. Discussions of market returns and trends are not intended to be a forecast of future events or returns.

Estimates reflect subjective judgments and assumptions. There can be no assurance that developments will transpire as forecasted and that the estimates are accurate.

Risk:
Foreign investors may have taxes withheld. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. Value investing involves buying the stocks of companies that are out of favor or are undervalued. This may adversely affect an account’s value and return. Stock values fluctuate in response to issuer, political, regulatory, market or economic developments. The value of small and mid-capitalization securities may be more volatile than those of larger issuers, but larger issuers could fall out of favor. Investments in foreign issuers may be more volatile than in the U.S. market, and international investing is subject to special risks including, but not limited to, currency risk associated with non – U.S. dollar denominated securities, which may be affected by fluctuations in currency exchange rates, political, social or economic instability, and differences in taxation, auditing and other financial practices. Investments in emerging markets may increase risks.

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Connor Watson, CFA

Relationship Manager

Mr. Watson earned a B.A. degree in economics from the College of the Holy Cross. He holds FINRA Series 3, 7, and 63 licenses, and the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation. He began his career in the industry in 2012.

Mr. Watson is responsible for relationship management and business development for the firm’s Public Fund and Taft-Hartley clients across the U.S. He joined Boston Partners after nine years at BNY Mellon Investment Management where he was a Vice President in the North American Distribution group with responsibility for multi-employer, public and other clients. In prior roles, Mr. Watson was with The Boston Company Asset Management as a Client Service Analyst, and he started his career at State Street Global Services.

Timothy Strakosch

Investor Relations

Mr. Strakosch holds a B.A. degree in finance from the Carroll School of Management at Boston College and holds the FINRA securities licenses 7 and 63. He began his career in the industry in 2013.

Mr. Strakosch is responsible for business development and relationship management of the firm’s Public Fund and Taft-Hartley clients. He joined the firm in 2023 from AllianceBernstein where he was a vice president in the Institutional Client Group with responsibility for Public Fund and Taft-Hartley clients throughout North America. Previously, he was at Putnam Investments responsible for marketing Putnam Investment solutions to Financial Advisors at the wire house firms. Mr. Strakosch is a member of the Leadership Advisory Council at The Cristo Rey Boston High School and a team captain for the Pan-Mass Challenge. He serves on the Gold Leadership Council at Boston College and is a Class Agent at The Belmont Hill School.

Kathryn Y. Burke

Head of Client Service

Ms. Burke holds a M.A. in East Asian Studies from Duke University and a B.A. degree in Asian Studies from Dartmouth College. Ms. Burke holds FINRA licenses 7 and 63. She has seventeen years of industry experience.

Ms. Burke is the Head of Client Service for Boston Partners. In this role she has management responsibility for the firm’s client service associates and proposal team helping to ensure the client’s needs are met with world class service and satisfaction while driving new business initiatives to develop and enhance relationships in our Institutional and Sub advisory businesses. She joined the firm in February of 2023. Prior to that, Ms. Burke spent fifteen years at Putnam Investments as Director of Client Service managing day-to-day oversight of their Japan and North American clients, and before that, two years as an Account Executive and Proposal Writer at Fidelity Investments in their institutional division.

Newcomb Cole

Consultant Relations Director

Mr. Cole holds a B.S. degree in finance from Syracuse University. He also holds the FINRA Series 7 and 63 licenses and began his career in the industry in 1990.

Mr. Cole is a Consultant Relations Director, with distribution and relationship management responsibilities for consultants and investors in North America. He joined the firm in January 2023 from Intech, where he was a member of the consultant relations team. Prior to this, Newcomb was in a similar role at The Boston Company.

Jason Reid

Senior Compliance Manager

Jason holds a B.S. degree from Fitchburg State University as well. He began his career in the industry in 2004.

Mr. Reid is a Senior Compliance Manager for Boston Partners and Chief Compliance Officer of Boston Partners Securities, LLC, our limited purpose Broker/Dealer. He joined the firm in August 2022. Mr. Reid is also a member of the Boston Partners Sustainability and Engagement team with primary responsibility for proxy voting and proxy voting engagement. His primary responsibilities are Sales and Marketing Compliance, and Broker/Dealer regulatory oversight. He is a member of the GIPS Committee and the Governance Committee. As part of the Sustainability and Engagement Team, Mr. Reid manages the proxy voting process on behalf of the Governance Committee, prepares all engagement materials with issuers regarding proxy matters and does original ESG research on issuers held in Boston Partners’ portfolio. Prior to joining Boston Partners, he was a Compliance Manager, Assistant Vice President, at Natixis Investment Managers. He holds the series 7, 24 registrations.

Jack Birmingham

Product Specialist

Mr. Birmingham holds a B.A. degree in political science from Hobart College. He began his career in the industry in 2018.

Mr. Birmingham is Product Specialist for the Boston Partners value equity strategies based in the Boston office, responsible for clients, consultants and prospects outside of North America. Prior to this role, he joined the firm in June 2018 as an RFP Writer and Database Coordinator in the Marketing Department, where he supported all of the firm’s equity strategies.

Matthew Donovan

Equity Analyst

Mr. Donovan holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania. Mr. Donovan began his career in the investment industry in 2022.

Mr. Donovan is an equity analyst with Boston Partners. Mr. Donovan is focusing his analytical efforts on Emerging Markets equities. Prior to this, he was a Research Analyst for the Boston Partners Sustainability and Engagement Team. He was responsible for original ESG/Sustainability research on companies held in Boston Partners’ portfolios. Mr. Donovan joined Boston Partners in February 2022.

John Zhao

Equity Analyst

Mr. Zhao holds a Bachelor of Arts degree from the Richard Ivey School of Business at Western University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. He began his career in the investment industry in 2015.

Mr. Zhao is an emerging markets industry analyst with Boston Partners specializing in fundamental research of stocks held in our Emerging Markets Equity products. He joined the firm in November 2021. Prior to his role at Boston Partners, Mr. Zhao worked as a Private Equity Associate in Salt Lake City and an Investment Banking Associate in Hong Kong.

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Jonah Frank

Equity Analyst

Mr. Frank was a student at Boston University where he earned a B.S. degree in business administration with a concentration in finance and management information systems. Mr. Frank began his career in the investment industry in 2021.

Mr. Frank is an equity research analyst with Boston Partners. Mr. Frank is focusing his analytical efforts on equities within a variety of cyclical industries.

Edward Stansky

Equity Analyst

Mr. Stansky holds a B.S. degree in economics from Duke University and a M.B.A. from NYU’s Stern School of Business. He began his career in the investment industry in 2016.

Mr. Stansky is an equity research analyst with Boston Partners specializing in the IT services, data processors, and transportation sectors of the equity market. He joined the firm in September 2021. Prior to this role, he worked as a high yield and leveraged loan analyst at DDJ Capital and as an investment banking analyst in debt advisory at BofA Merrill Lynch.

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Marlon Thompson

Equity Trading Assistant

Mr. Thompson holds a B.S. degree in finance from Boston College. He began his career in the investment industry in 2011.

Mr. Thompson is an equity trading assistant for Boston Partners. Prior to assuming this role, he worked as a portfolio operations analyst. Before joining the firm in May 2021, Mr. Thompson held several roles including Vice President of Operations at Benefit Street Partners LLC and positions at International Fund Services (IFS) and Pioneer Investments.

Kara Pattipati, CFA

Relationship Manager

Ms. Pattipati holds an M.A. in International Relations from the University of St. Andrews. She holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation. Ms. Pattipati began her career in the industry in 2012.

Ms. Pattipati is a member of the Relationship Management team at Boston Partners. She works with many of our key domestic and international clients in a client service and relationship manager capacity. Prior to joining Boston Partners in November 2016, she was a business development associate at Geode Capital Management.

Elizabeth Sheerin

Relationship Manager

Ms. Sheerin holds a B.S. degree in business management from Babson College. Ms. Sheerin began her career in the industry in 2009.

Ms. Sheerin is a member of the Relationship Management team at Boston Partners and she joined this team in 2011. She works with many of our key domestic and international clients in a client service and relationship manager capacity. Prior to joining our firm in June 2011, she was a Client Service Representative at Putnam Investments. She also held several financial services related internships including working for Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management and State Street Global Advisors.

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